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The 2009 season was a good one for the Rockwood Tigers and if Sonny Moore’s 2010 Computer Power Ratings are correct, the 2010 season could be even better for John Webb’s squad.
Moore’s ratings predict Rockwood will go 9-1 in the regular season and the Tigers are also picked to win the District 3-A title according to the computer.
The computer basis its preseason predictions on past success and then gives each team in the state a power rating.
To predict the winner of a game simply compare the two teams ratings and give the home team an extra three points.
The ratings, however, do not take into account graduation losses or preseason injuries.
Rockwood’s power rating is 100.37.
Under that scenario, Rockwood is expected to beat Sweetwater by 14 points in their home opener before winning at Greenback by two points in week two.
Rockwood’s other seven victories will come against Tellico Plains (16 points), Coalfield (25 points), Grace Christian (5 points), Wartburg (31 points), Midway (14 points), Bledsoe County (15 points) and Harriman (17 points).
Moore’s computer says Rockwood’s lone loss will be a 12-point loss at Kingston on Friday, Sept. 10.
Kingston’s rating is the county’s best at 109.22, but in the rugged District 4-AA, the Jackets are predicted to finish fourth overall and that would leave Kingston needing a wild card berth to make the playoffs.
Kingston is expected to go 7-3 using the ratings with the Jackets beating Harriman (20 points), Scott (12 points), Rockwood (12 points), Stone Memorial (22 points), Lenoir City (2 points), McMinn Central (1 point) and Cumberland County.
Kingston’s losses will be to Alcoa (36 points), CAK (13 points) and Loudon (3 points).
Like Kingston, Oliver Springs is also expected to go 7-3 according to the preseason rankings. The Bobcats have a rating of 85.93 and are also expected to finish second overall in District 4-A.
Oliver Springs is expected to beat Hancock County (30 points), Oakdale (35 points), Coalfield (10 points), Jellico (30 points), Sunbright (14 points), Wartburg (16 points) and Clay County (9 points).
Oliver Springs losses will be against Grundy County (1 point), Midway (1 point) and Oneida (20 points).
Harriman enters the season with a rating of 85.99, which is fifth best in District 3-A. The rating also predicts a 5-5 overall record for the Blue Devils.
Harriman five wins are supposed to come against Midway (5 points), Wartburg (11 points), Jellico (37 points), Bledsoe County (1 point) and Coalfield (10 points).
Besides losing to Rockwood and Kingston, the Blue Devils are also expected to lose games against Greenback (12 points), Tellico Plains (5 points) and Grace Christian (9 points).
Midway enters the season with a rating of 83.31 and that is sixth overall in District 3-A. The Green Waves are predicted to finish 3-7 overall.
Midway’s wins will be against Wartburg (14 points), Oliver Springs (1 point) and Hancock County (22 points).
Besides Harriman and Rockwood, the Green Waves are predicted to lose to Bledsoe County (8 points), Grace Christian (18 points), Greenback (9 points), Grundy County (1 point) and Tellico Plains (1 point).